Nov 07 2009
Does the war in Afghanistan make us safe in the UK?
The Establishment’s view that we need to be fighting a war in Afghanistan to keep us safe is not shared by that many voters any more. Under pressure from public opinion and interviewers, the government now says that of course they need good border controls and anti terrorist surveillance here at home. They accept that we have home grown terrorists.
They go on to say that we need to fight in Afghanistan because some terrorists are trained there, and because the terrorist plotters in the UK often have links there. They link Afghanistan to Pakistan by calling the area the border badlands. Under questioning, they admit that most of the training and links are to the Pakistan side of the border, rather than the Afghanistan side. They seek to imply that the position in Pakistan would get worse if we removed troops from Afghanistan.
This argument will not wash. It is clearly not strong enough to impress the President himself, so he dithers over reinforcing his exposed positions instead of committing the personnel for the task. In so doing he undermines the idea that the allied troops will be in Afghanistan for the long haul.
The truth is the US and UK cannot commit sufficient troops to fight and win all of Afghanistan for allied control, and cannot keep enough troops there to garrison the whole vast country. As allied troops move on from village to village, so insurgents reappear in once captured territory. The rebels can use the presence of foreign troops to recuit more.
Surely a first step for the allies should be to cease fighting to control new territory, give what troops need to remain strong areas to live in, and use them to support the civil power and to pursue selective targets identified by the anti terrorist surveillance. At the same time much more work should go into the political side. Given the weakness of the central authority and the tribal and local nature of power in Afghanistan, maybe the attention of the allies should turn to helping Afghanistan create stronger local government. If the main worry is the Pakistan border, maybe that is where we should concentrate efforts, and work closely with the Pakistan forces who should conduct what warfare needs waging.
If the Establishment is determined to stay, it needs to define its tasks more precisely, and then put in the trained personnel and equipment necessary to carry them out. Lecturing the Afghan President on how he should run a western style democracy is not going to work, and leads people to wonder how committed the PM and the President are to the current regime.




John Redwood has been the Member of Parliament for Wokingham since 1987. First attending Kent College, Canterbury, he graduated from Magdalen College...